What’s really at stake on February 11

Barbadians will go to the polls on February 11 at a moment when local concerns and international developments are colliding in ways that could potentially shape public mood and political choices.

 

While general elections are often about parochial matters such as roads, the bus service, even housing and supermarket prices, this general election is taking place against a backdrop of global uncertainty and economic pressure at home.

 

Internationally, we find ourselves affected by decisions beyond its control. Barbados’ recent inclusion in the United States’ immigrant visa pause list has unsettled some citizens, particularly those with family members living in the US or those who had work or long-term migration plans.

 

Although the pause does not affect tourist travel, it has shown our vulnerability to geopolitical instability and shifts in migration policies that are guided more by political considerations than factual evidence. For a small island state with deep diasporic connections, the current hardline immigration and trade posture is having serious ripple effects. 

 

At home, the economic picture is expected to weigh on voters. Rising food prices, high utility bills and the general cost of living are persistent concerns across communities and income groups. While rising prices are not unique to Barbados there is no doubt that many households are struggling to manage their income with everyday expenses. The reality for too many households is that juggling bills is a way of life and could shape how voters judge government’s performance, despite the impact of situations outside the administration’s control.

 

Immigration has also emerged as an area of unease for some sections of the population. Increased movement of people from both within the region and farther afield has sparked debate about the island’s carrying capacity, jobs, housing and the impact on national identity. 

Immigration brings skills and economic benefits, however, the pace and management of new arrivals have raised questions among some citizens about long-term impact on social cohesion. 

 

Hanging over the coming election is the matter of voter apathy. Turnout in the last two general elections was relatively low by historical standards, even as BLP secured overwhelming victories. For some voters, the absence of a strong opposition party has contributed to a sense that election outcomes would be predictable. 

 

On the other hand, Barbadians have expressed frustration or disengagement, feeling that elections were pointless to their personal advancement. Low voter participation, however, has  its own risks, as it raises questions of legitimacy. 

 

In this connection, all the political parties vying for office must prioritise voter turnout. Those who do not participate in the process are in no position to complain about the outcome. 

 

The governing party enters the election from a position of strength. Its machinery is well oiled; it has the advantage of incumbency, and it continues to project an image of stability and international credibility. 

 

The Democratic Labour Party, by contrast, faces a challenging campaign. After suffering two consecutive election defeats without winning a single seat, it is attempting to rebuild and reconnect with voters in a short time frame. 

 

The party has been weakened by internal fractures and defections, which have affected public confidence. Financial constraints and limited access to major campaign resources also place the opposition at a disadvantage.

 

This imbalance raises broader questions about political competition and accountability. A healthy democracy relies not only on strong government but also on effective opposition that can challenge policy, offer alternatives and scrutinise decisions. When one party dominates for an extended period, voters may struggle to identify a real choice.

 

February 11 is an opportunity to reflect on the pressures facing the country and for voters to decide how they want Barbados to be governed in the coming years. The result may reinforce the status quo or begin to reshape the political landscape in which the government faces a stronger opposition, or even a totally new administration.