Tropical Depression number eleven forecast to pass north of Barbados

The Barbados Meteorological Services is continuing to closely monitor the progress of Tropical Depression number Eleven. at 11 a.m. today, the depression was centered near 12.4N 44.2W or about 1035 miles or 1665 kilometers to the east of Barbados. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35mph (55km/h) and the estimated minimum central pressure is 1007mb.

Track Forecast:
Although the depression is currently tracking westward at about 14 mph (22km/h ), it is forecast to turn west-northwestward by tonight. On its current forecast track, the system should pass well north of Barbados on Saturday 15th August 2020.

Intensity Forecast:
Southeasterly wind shear along with dry air to the east and southeast of the system continued to hinder any further intensification over the past 12hrs. This has resulted in the occasional weakening of deep convection over the eastern and southeastern sections of the depression. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm sometime tonight as the dry air entrainment and wind shear is forecast to diminish enough to allow the system to get better organized.

By Friday, southwesterly wind shear is expected to significantly impact the system structure resulting in weakening as it nears the northern Leewards.