Update: Weather Information Statement # 7 – Tropical Wave

The Barbados Meteorological Services  (BMS) continues to closely monitor the progress of a tropical wave located near 57W south of 15N at 5 p.m., Tuesday, October 4, 2022.

Throughout the course of the day the system has not changed much in its overall structure and it remains rather disorganized with most of the deep convection east and south of the center. There are currently two low-level centers associated with the system, but the more dominant one was located near 11.2N 57.2W. This is about 320 km ( 195 miles) southeast of Barbados.

Conditions will be marginally favorable for some slow development throughout tonight as it approaches and into early tomorrow morning. The system is expected to track west to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the next 12 to 24 hours. This should bring the system into our area in the early hours of tomorrow.

The forecasters advise that regardless of development this wave could produce 2 to 3 inches of rainfall with isolated higher amounts of 4 inches in moderate to heavy showers. Winds are currently predicted to range between 25 to 35 mph with higher gusts of 45 to 55 mph.

The next update will be at 11 p.m. tonight or sooner if conditions warrant.