BMS: Tropical Wave expected to pass Barbados late Thursday

The Barbados Meteorological Services is closely monitoring the progress of a strong tropical wave located 500 miles east of Barbados

at 08:00 am LST Tuesday, 22, June 2021.

Overnight and into this morning Satellite imagery has shown increased areas of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated

with the tropical wave 500 miles to our east. However, moisture and instability well ahead of the axis will bring some occasional

showers and possible isolated thunderstorms from this afternoon. Total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are possible from this

afternoon up to Thursday. There are presently no watches or warnings in effect for Barbados.

Current model analysis has been consistently suggesting that environmental conditions remain marginal for tropical cyclone

development over the next 24 to 36 hours. Beyond 36 hours, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavourable for tropical cyclone

development.

This system is forecast to track west to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the next few days. Model data indicates that most of

the shower activity associated with the tropical wave should pass mainly to the north of Barbados from late Thursday, 24th June 2021

into Friday, 25th June 2021.